Asteroid 2024 YR4: Is Venezuela an impact goal in 2032?

The International Scientific Community has given its attention to asteroid 2024 YR4, a spatial object of between 40 and 100 meters in diameter that could represent an impact risk for the Earth in the year 2032.

Impact probability and regions at risk

According to the latest data and prediction models, there is a probability of 1.3% that asteroid 2024 YR4 collided with our planet on December 22, 2032. Although this figure may seem low, experts warn that it is sufficient to maintain a constant surveillance on the object.

In case of an impact, the most exposed regions would be:

• Pacific Ocean: An impact here could generate devastating tsunamis that would affect the coasts of America, Asia and Oceania.
• Northern South America: countries like Colombia, Venezuela and Ecuador are in the trajectory of possible impact.
• Atlantic Ocean: similar to Pacific, an impact here could generate giant waves with effects on the coasts of Europe and Africa.
• Africa: Nigeria, Cameroon and the Democratic Republic of Congo are some of the African countries at risk.
• Arabic sea: an impact here could affect countries such as Oman, Pakistan and India.
• South Asia: India and Bangladesh regions are also within the area of ​​possible impact.

Turin scale and call to calm

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has been classified with a level 3 on the Turin scale, which measures the risk of impact of asteroids and other objects close to Earth. A level 3 indicates that the asteroid deserves attention due to its probability of relatively high impact.

Despite the concern, scientists call calm and underline the importance of continuing to investigate and monitor asteroid 2024 YR4. With more data and better models, it is expected to be more accurate to determine the asteroid trajectory and evaluate the real risk it represents for the Earth.